Forecasting the Number of Undergraduate Students Using the ARIMA Model
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Date
2017Author
สุภัทธิรา วรอาจ
ยุทธนา สันแสนดี
ศรันยู พรมศร
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This research aims to investigate the number of undergraduate students predicted to enroll
in Construction Management course at the Faculty of Architecture and Design, Rajamangala
University of Technology Rattanakosin and to formulate forecasting model by ARIMA for
appropriate enrollment number estimation during 2017-2021. 18 time series data used in this
investigation comprised of three enrollment types through Quota, University Admission and Office
of the Higher Education Commission.
The results reveals the number of undergraduate students forecasted to enroll in the
Construction Management course at the Faculty of Architecture and Design, Rajamangala University
of Technology Rattanakosin were 1) through Quota 30, 31, 37, 41, and 46 for 2017, 2018, 2019,
2020 and 2021 respectively 2) through University Admission 83, 63, 89, 73 and 96 for 2017, 2018,
2019, 2020 and 2021 respectively and 3) through Office of the Higher Education Commission, a
constant 10 students predicted to enroll through the period from 2017-2021.